6–11 Dec 2026
Stellenbosch University
Africa/Johannesburg timezone

Hybrid Quantum-Classical Logistic Regression for Calibrated Classification of Pulsar Candidates

Not scheduled
20m
Jan Mouton Learning Centre (Stellenbosch University)

Jan Mouton Learning Centre

Stellenbosch University

Poster

Speaker

Ms Chanelle Matadah Manfouo (Department of Physics, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa; African Institute for Mathematical Sciences Research and Innovation Centre, Kigali, Rwanda; National Institute for Theoretical and Computational Sciences (NITheCS), Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa})

Description

Modern radio surveys produce large numbers of candidate signals that must be screened to identify new pulsars. This is a rare-event classification problem, since most candidates correspond to noise or radio-frequency interference. In this setting, candidate ranking is as important as binary classification, so predicted probabilities should be reliable for telescope follow-up decisions.

This work studies hybrid quantum-classical logistic regression for calibrated pulsar candidate classification on the imbalanced HTRU-2 dataset. A parameterised quantum circuit is used as a trainable feature map, and Pauli-Z expectation values are passed to a classical logistic layer to estimate the pulsar probability. Three encoding strategies are compared within the same framework: angle encoding, amplitude encoding, and data re-uploading. The quantum logistic models are evaluated against classical logistic regression, SVM-RBF, XGBoost, and a quantum support vector machine reference model.

The evaluation combines discrimination metrics, probability calibration, and runtime. Metrics include PR-AUC, ROC-AUC, Brier score, expected calibration error, reliability diagrams, and Murphy decomposition. Across the tested training-set sizes and circuit depths, angle-encoded quantum logistic regression gives the strongest performance among the quantum logistic regression variants. It remains close to the strongest classical baseline in discrimination and low-false-positive-rate recovery, while giving the lowest calibration error among the compared models.

Shallow angle-encoded quantum logistic regression is overall the best-balanced quantum logistic model for this rare-event screening task. Broadly, the outcomes highlight the role of calibration and operational metrics when quantum machine learning predictions are intended to support scientific decision-making.

Topic Hybrid quantum-classical approaches for learning and optimization
Additional Topic Quantum variational circuits and their applications

Authors

Ms Chanelle Matadah Manfouo (Department of Physics, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa; African Institute for Mathematical Sciences Research and Innovation Centre, Kigali, Rwanda; National Institute for Theoretical and Computational Sciences (NITheCS), Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa}) Dr Donovan Slabbert (Department of Physics, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa & National Institute for Theoretical and Computational Sciences (NITheCS), Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa) Prof. Francesco Petruccione (National Institute for Theoretical and Computational Sciences (NITheCS), Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa; School of Data Science and Computational Thinking, Stellenbosch University, South Africa; Department of Physics, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa) Dr Prince Koree Osei (African Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Accra, Ghana & African Institute for Mathematical Sciences Research and Innovation Centre, Kigali, Rwanda)

Presentation materials